Daily e-mail Feb 7th

Good Morning 

 

There were 2 CME's yesterday and they seem to be booking it through the interplanetary space. Yesterday they were predicted to perhaps give us a glancing blow on the 9th or 10th. The first CME is now thought to hit us on Feb. 8th and the second on the 9th, both during the time we're expecting continuing high speed SW's from the coronal hole. Early this morning we had a small storm (Dst_min = -33nT probably due to the coronal hole), and hopefully this is just the beginning.

Movies from SOHO showing the CME's 

Payloads up: 

SANAE IV: 1T, 1U

Halley 6:  1H, 1I, 1A

Payloads coming down:

1V was terminated at 0150 UT on Feb. 6th. 

1Q was cutdown at 1621 UT on Feb. 6th.

1I and 1H are starting to (or have already) dipped below 27 km and are expected to be terminated in the next few days. 

Conjunctions: 

Feb 5 2013

Sat. A 0130 UT - 0845 UT 

Sat. B 0355 UT - 1130 UT

Feb 4 2013

Sat. B 0045 UT - 0810 UT 

Feb 3-4 2013

Sat. A 2220 UT on February 3rd to 0545 on February 4th

Feb 3 2013

Sat. A 0420 UT - 1200 UT

Sat. B 0640 UT - 1420 UT

Jan 30 2013-partially cancelled

Sat. A 0140 UT - 0555 UT

Sat. B 0335 UT - 1050 UT

Jan 29 2013

Sat. A 0735 UT - 1515 UT

Sat. B 0025 UT - 0740 UT

Sat. B 0915 UT - 1650 UT

 

Jan 28-29 2013

Sat. A 2250 UT Jan 28 - 0605 UT Jan 29

 

Jan 28 2013

Sat. A 0450 UT - 1210 UT

Sat. B 0625 UT - 1345 UT

 

Jan 27 2013

Sat. A 0220 UT - 0910 UT

Sat. A 1114 UT - 1815 UT

Sat. B 0330 UT - 1020 UT

Sat. B 1215 UT - 1940 UT

 

Jan 26 2013

Sat. A 0830 UT - 1500 UT

Sat. B 0050 UT - 0700 UT

Sat. B 0940 UT - 1630 UT

Halley Bay :

 quiet

GOES Electron Flux:

Have continued to be at normal to moderate levels and are expected to be the same for the next three days

 

GOES Proton Flux:

Has stayed at background levels for the lat 24 hours and is expected to be the same over the next three days

 

Space Weather from Spaceweather.com and SWPC.noaa.gov

 

Solar wind speed is 348.1 km/s 

Solar proton density 3.2 cm^(-3) 

 

39 sunspots are now visible. NOAA has the likelihood of a M class flare at 10% and a 1% chance of an X class flare. 

 

Kp is quiet kp = 2 with a 24 max of kp = 2

Bz = 2.5 nT north but changing quickly

Btotal = 4.1 nT 

 

There is a relatively large coronal hole in the northern hemisphere and it appears that we are starting to encounter the SW from this region. 

From Kyoto:

AE: We've seen some activity in the AE index peaking over 500 nT. 

 

Dst: A small storm occurred this morning and is currently in its recovery phase. The min Dst was -33 nT

 

 

Have a good day and remember to back up your computer!